Donald Trump

The Hillary-Bernie Swing State Matchup (updated)

by Kevin Kelton

Yes, at one point Bernie Sanders won 7 out of 8 straight contests, plus some impressive victories in Michigan and Wisconsin, and he’s poised to win a few more in May. Yet that is only a partial snapshot of what has happened in his contest with Hillary Cintin this primary season. To date, Clinton has won 27 contests (including American Samoa and the Northern Mariana Islands) and Sanders has won 20 (including Democrats Abroad).

But let’s narrow things down what really counts in a presidential election: swing states. There are 12 purple states in 2016. Hillary has won primaries or caucuses in 8 of them (OH, FL, VA, NC, MO, NV, IA, AZ) and Bernie has 4 (WI, NH, CO, MI).

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Normal Political Violence


Segments:

Is violence at political events the new normal?

Does the violence issue help or hurt the Sanders campaign?

How much of the minority vote does Sanders actually need? Can he find it in the mid-west?

Is the Clinton Honduras scandal a thing? Like, really?

Why Ivanka Trump may be the most important person in American politics today

Americathon

by Kevin Kelton

In the 1979 movie Americathon, a fictional U.S. president decides to hold a telethon to pay down the national debt. That was a satiric look into the “future” of 1998. But just decades later, what seemed like satire then now seems all-too-real. America has become a telethon.

It’s everywhere. On my newsfeed. In late-night comedy shows. At the dinner table and dentist office. Even coming from my kids. The world is now a 24/7 presidential election. They might as well call it an Elect-A-Thon.

Ever since the Muscular Dystrophy Foundation decided to end it’s annual 21-hour charity telethon, America has been in search of it’s next “thon” fix. Sure, there’s still the Boston Marathon, the Penn State “THON” charity dance-a-thon, the St. Jude Trike-A-thon (a real thing), and the “Surf Dog” Dog Surf-A-Thon (I kid you not!).

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Romney Arrives To Save Us All

Segments:

Here he comes to save the day! Mighty Mitt is on the way!

Clinton vs Sanders in a gun fight.

Four Republican paths to the nomination. No, really.

Maybe the worst set of political predictions ever. No, really!

Why Clinton Beats Trump…In Pictures

Today, instead of arguing the general election in words, let’s argue it in pictures. (And save me a thousand words.)

For every argument that Donald Trump can beat Hillary Clinton by turning out new, first-time white voters, there’s a picture that says, “No, he can’t.”

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Super Tuesday Is Super Crazy

Segments:

Will Trump run the table?

Will Sanders win outside of his home state?

Will D.J. leave the Republican party?

Will Trump give Rubio’s mom a job?

Shadow of Scalia Falls over South Carolina

Segments:

GOP Debate

Democratic Debate

The Open SCOTUS Seat

Nevada, South Carolina and beyond

 

Episode 21: Onward, New Hampshire

Segments:

A look back at Iowa

On to New Hampshire

Reviewing the debates

The national mood, and why it sucks

Predictions going forward

 

Episode 20: Twenty-four Hours to Iowa

SEGMENTS:

Interview with an Iowa voter

T-minus 24 hours and counting

Final polls – what they tell us and what they don’t

Last GOP debate – sans Trump

Clinton’s “Top Secret” Emails

Where we think things will go from here

Democrats Need to Consider Worst-Case Scenarios

Regardless of what party you’re in or which candidate you support, it seems to me the presidential election comes down to one question: Which Democratic candidate can best withstand the GOP attack machine?

Regardless of whether Donald Trump, Ted Cruz, Marco Rubio, or John Kasich win the GOP nod, demographics and electoral college math suggest that Democrats are positioned to win in 2016 if their nominee can withstand the harshly negative general election campaign to come. There are two competing and somewhat equally plausible theories about that. In choosing a nominee, Democrats should envision each theory’s worst-case scenario and carefully game it out.

So let’s look at the two very precarious “nightmare” scenarios out there – be it Hillary Clinton’s negatives overwhelming her or Bernie Sanders being caricatured by the opposition.
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Episode 19: Palin Blooms as Bloomberg Looms


Segments:

Michael Bloomberg considers a possible run

Ted Cruz’s college roommate takes to Twitter

The Des Moines Register endorses Rubio and Clinton

Sarah Palin enters the fray

The O’Malley factor in Iowa

 

Episode 18: Two Debates, Two Weeks to Go

Segments:

The Democratic Debate

Bernie’s single payer plan

Who’s the weaker national candidate?

The GOP Debate

Bernie’s black endorsements add “street cred”

What a Trump presidency might look like