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Donald Trump

Why Clinton Beats Trump…In Pictures

Today, instead of arguing the general election in words, let’s argue it in pictures. (And save me a thousand words.)

For every argument that Donald Trump can beat Hillary Clinton by turning out new, first-time white voters, there’s a picture that says, “No, he can’t.”

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Super Tuesday Is Super Crazy

Segments:

Will Trump run the table?

Will Sanders win outside of his home state?

Will D.J. leave the Republican party?

Will Trump give Rubio’s mom a job?

Shadow of Scalia Falls over South Carolina

Segments:

GOP Debate

Democratic Debate

The Open SCOTUS Seat

Nevada, South Carolina and beyond

 

Episode 21: Onward, New Hampshire

Segments:

A look back at Iowa

On to New Hampshire

Reviewing the debates

The national mood, and why it sucks

Predictions going forward

 

Episode 20: Twenty-four Hours to Iowa

SEGMENTS:

Interview with an Iowa voter

T-minus 24 hours and counting

Final polls – what they tell us and what they don’t

Last GOP debate – sans Trump

Clinton’s “Top Secret” Emails

Where we think things will go from here

Democrats Need to Consider Worst-Case Scenarios

Regardless of what party you’re in or which candidate you support, it seems to me the presidential election comes down to one question: Which Democratic candidate can best withstand the GOP attack machine?

Regardless of whether Donald Trump, Ted Cruz, Marco Rubio, or John Kasich win the GOP nod, demographics and electoral college math suggest that Democrats are positioned to win in 2016 if their nominee can withstand the harshly negative general election campaign to come. There are two competing and somewhat equally plausible theories about that. In choosing a nominee, Democrats should envision each theory’s worst-case scenario and carefully game it out.

So let’s look at the two very precarious “nightmare” scenarios out there – be it Hillary Clinton’s negatives overwhelming her or Bernie Sanders being caricatured by the opposition.
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Episode 19: Palin Blooms as Bloomberg Looms


Segments:

Michael Bloomberg considers a possible run

Ted Cruz’s college roommate takes to Twitter

The Des Moines Register endorses Rubio and Clinton

Sarah Palin enters the fray

The O’Malley factor in Iowa

 

Episode 18: Two Debates, Two Weeks to Go

Segments:

The Democratic Debate

Bernie’s single payer plan

Who’s the weaker national candidate?

The GOP Debate

Bernie’s black endorsements add “street cred”

What a Trump presidency might look like

Episode 17: Cruz On His Heels; Trump on Mount Rushmore


 

Segments:

Does Donald Trump have the ground organization to cash in on his poll numbers?

Is Canadian born Ted Cruz qualified to be president? 

What’s so special about Martin Van Buren?

Was President Obama’s Town Hall on guns a success for the president?

Will the gun issue be a decisive factor in the fall election?

Does Congress’s vote to repeal Obamacare mean anything?

Our predictions.

Enjoying the Political Super Bowl

I’m watching the movie “Anomalisa” yesterday (save your money). And you know how your mind wanders during a bad movie? So my thoughts start wandering to politics and the primary campaigns and all the angst and vitriol people are spewing over it all. “Hillary is corrupt!”… “Trump is a fascist!”… “Bernie’s a socialist!”… “Rubio wears high heels!”… “If my candidate doesn’t get the nomination, I’m voting third party and moving to Switzerland!”

And it suddenly occurs to me, I don’t really care that much who wins anymore. That’s right. I have officially stopped caring. And the universe is suddenly looking a whole lot brighter.  😃

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The Heart Attack Moment

Imagine it’s mid-February. Hillary Clinton eked out a win in Iowa, lost to Bernie Sanders in New Hampshire, but still looks like the Democrat’s odds-on favorite going into South Carolina and Nevada. Meanwhile, Donald Trump came in a close second to Ted Cruz in Iowa and won New Hampshire, and is polling stronger than ever nationally as Jeb Bush, Chris Christie, Rand Paul and others drop out of the GOP race. Plausible scenario, right?

Now imagine waking up to a new national poll. It shows, for the first time, Donald Trump beating Hillary Clinton if the election were held today. By a wide margin.

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Episode 16: Feel the Burn Rates

Segments:

  • State of the races
    • 2015 4th Quarter Fundraising and “burn rates” 
    • Martin O’Malley and Jim Gilmore did not qualify for state ballots
    • Bill hits campaign trail and Trump hits Bill 
    • Trump vows to spend 25 mil on advertising 
  • Obama on “Comedians in Cars Getting Coffee”
  • Obama’s Executive Action on guns
  • Oregon Militia stand-off