2016 presidential election

Enjoying the Political Super Bowl

I’m watching the movie “Anomalisa” yesterday (save your money). And you know how your mind wanders during a bad movie? So my thoughts start wandering to politics and the primary campaigns and all the angst and vitriol people are spewing over it all. “Hillary is corrupt!”… “Trump is a fascist!”… “Bernie’s a socialist!”… “Rubio wears high heels!”… “If my candidate doesn’t get the nomination, I’m voting third party and moving to Switzerland!”

And it suddenly occurs to me, I don’t really care that much who wins anymore. That’s right. I have officially stopped caring. And the universe is suddenly looking a whole lot brighter.  😃

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The Heart Attack Moment

Imagine it’s mid-February. Hillary Clinton eked out a win in Iowa, lost to Bernie Sanders in New Hampshire, but still looks like the Democrat’s odds-on favorite going into South Carolina and Nevada. Meanwhile, Donald Trump came in a close second to Ted Cruz in Iowa and won New Hampshire, and is polling stronger than ever nationally as Jeb Bush, Chris Christie, Rand Paul and others drop out of the GOP race. Plausible scenario, right?

Now imagine waking up to a new national poll. It shows, for the first time, Donald Trump beating Hillary Clinton if the election were held today. By a wide margin.

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Episode 16: Feel the Burn Rates

Segments:

  • State of the races
    • 2015 4th Quarter Fundraising and “burn rates” 
    • Martin O’Malley and Jim Gilmore did not qualify for state ballots
    • Bill hits campaign trail and Trump hits Bill 
    • Trump vows to spend 25 mil on advertising 
  • Obama on “Comedians in Cars Getting Coffee”
  • Obama’s Executive Action on guns
  • Oregon Militia stand-off

Episode 15: Comedy in Politics; Predictions for 2016

Segments:

Is Jeb Bush funny? Is Donald Trump funny?

Is a sense of humor important in presidential politics?

How we got into politics

Trump takes on Bill Clinton

Some Hillary vs. Bernie talk

Predictions for 2016

Hillary and the Politics of Hate

In my last year of college, we heard a rumor that our school was going to land ex-president Richard Nixon as our commencement speaker. This would have been quite a coup as it would come just a year after the Nixon-Frost interviews and would have been Nixon’s first public speaking engagement since his resignation. But activist students on campus protested the architect of Watergate speaking at their alma matter, and the university was forced to withdraw the invitation. My graduating class ended up with TV actor Harold Gould as our commencement speaker. Gould, an alumnus of our school who was best known as the dad on “Rhoda,” gave a nice commencement address. But he wasn’t Richard Nixon.

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Episode 14: The debates, the races, and Obama’s handling of ISIS

Segments:

Fifth GOP Debate

The Cruz-Rubio immigration face-off

Can Trump really win?

Goodbye Lindsey Graham

Obama and the war on ISIS

Third Democratic Debate

 

Episode 13: Trump, More Trump, and Glass-Steagall

Segments:

The Trump Phenomenon

Clinton, Sanders and Glass-Steagall

State of the Races

The Economic Argument Against Immigration Reform

Episode 12: San Bernadino, Gun Politics and Trump

Segments:

Obama’s Oval Office Address: “Complex acts of terrorism”

The San Bernadino Shooting

The Politics of Guns – Where the Candidates Stand

Trump and the polls: Is he for real?

The pending government shutdown

 

Episode 11: The Planned Parenthood Shooting and Is Trump Really a Fascist?

Segments:

The Colorado Planned Parenthood shooting

Is Donald Trump truly a fascist?

Ben Carson’s Iowa poll dive and Ted Cruz’s poll rise

Bernie Sanders poll rise in New Hampshire

November presidential polls in 2016 vs 2012 vs 2008 

Polls don’t tell the true story

by Kevin Kelton

You’ve heard of college basketball’s March Madness? This year’s presidential primary campaign should be called Polling Madness.

In the course of just three weeks, the media has reported that Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton is 11 points ahead of Bernie Sanders in Iowa, one point behind Sanders10 points behind Sanders, and 21 points ahead of the Vermont Senator.

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